Motilal Oswal's research report onStar Health
Retail health insurance – the fastest-growing non-life insurance segment (FY20-25 CAGR of 18%), has witnessed stellar growth of ~30% in 2HFY26, supported by rising healthcare inflation, improving awareness, increasing middle-class penetration and GST exemption. However, penetration at <5% of Indian population leaves a long runway for steady high-teen growth. Against this backdrop, Star Health and Allied Insurance (STARHEAL) – the largest retail health player with 30%+ market share since FY21 – has seen its retail health GWP growth trajectory improve from 17% CAGR over FY21-26 to 20%+ since Oct’25 to date, while the number of lives covered has seen a 12% CAGR over FY20-25 (vs. 7% for industry). After witnessing unfavorable claims experience in FY25 (retail loss ratio of 69.2% vs. 65.8% in FY24), STARHEAL’s underwriting performance has recovered on the back of strong fresh business growth (+37% YoY in FY26) and calibrated repricing actions with retail loss ratio at 68.2% in FY26. Going forward, the annual repricing on 80% of the portfolio should reflect in further improvement of the loss ratio, along with continued momentum in fresh business.
We estimate a CAGR of 16%/32% in IFRS insurance revenue/PAT during FY26-28, with the CISR improving to 98.3% in FY28E. We maintain BUY rating on the stock with a TP of INR700 (valuing the company at 26x FY28E IFRS PAT).
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