Diwali Muhurat Trading 2026: Sensex slips to 80,999, Nifty falls below 25,000

⚡ Key Financial Takeaways

  • Sensex fell 28.62 points (‑0.04%) to 80,999.40; Nifty dropped 43.95 points (‑0.18%) to 24,986.40, ending the session below the 25,000 threshold.
  • Market breadth remained robust: 3,127 stocks advanced versus 917 decliners, indicating underlying buying interest.
  • Sun Pharma (+3.17%) and Tata Steel (+2.09%) led gains, while SBI Life Insurance (‑1.11%) and InterGlobe Aviation (‑1.07%) were the top losers.
  • Veteran analysts are split: Ramesh Damani sees a nascent bull market, Raamdeo Agrawal expects strong returns by next Diwali, while Samir Arora warns of missing catalysts such as tax reforms.
  • Atul Suri projects the Nifty could reach 30,000 within 18 months if more stocks break fresh highs.

💡 Why It Matters

The Diwali Muhurat session is traditionally viewed as a bellwether for the Indian market’s tone in the new Hindu calendar year. A slip below 25,000 for the Nifty, coupled with mixed expert opinions, signals that the recent rally may need stronger fundamentals to sustain a longer bull run, affecting investors’ portfolio strategies and foreign inflows.

Market recap During the special Diwali Muhurat Trading session on 8 November 2026, India’s two headline indices closed modestly lower. The Sensex slipped 28.62 points, or 0.04 percent, to finish at **80,999.40**. The Nifty fell 43.95 points, a 0.18 percent decline, ending at **24,986.40**, taking it below the psychologically important 25,000 level.

The dip came after a vigorous rally the previous week. On Friday, the Sensex had surged 2.17 percent to 81,028.02 and the Nifty jumped 2.01 percent to 25,030.35, both hitting eight‑month highs. The Nifty’s breach of 25,000 was its first since 27 February. Over the week, the Nifty posted an 8.58 percent gain, buoyed by foreign institutional buying and falling crude‑oil prices.

Despite the negative close, market breadth stayed positive. **3,127** stocks advanced, **917** fell and **193** were unchanged, suggesting that buying pressure remains widespread.

Sector and stock performance Among individual equities, **Sun Pharma** emerged as the top Nifty gainer, rising **3.17 percent** to ₹1,919. **Tata Steel** added **2.09 percent** to reach ₹190.20, while **ONGC** and **Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles** posted modest gains of 1.31 percent and 1.13 percent respectively.

The laggards included **SBI Life Insurance** (‑1.11 percent), **InterGlobe Aviation** (‑1.07 percent) and **Bharti Airtel** (‑1.03 percent).

Sector‑wise, the **Nifty Media** and **Nifty Pharma** indices rose 1.71 percent and 1.70 percent respectively. In contrast, **Nifty Realty** slipped 0.66 percent, **Bank Nifty** fell 0.40 percent and **Nifty IT** declined 0.33 percent.

The broader market outperformed the benchmarks: the **Nifty Smallcap 100** gained 1.01 percent, **Aegis Vopak** (a BSE Midcap stock) surged 6.42 percent, and **Motilal Oswal Financial Services** rose 4.03 percent.

Expert views on the outlook - **Ramesh Damani**, a market veteran, believes Indian equities could be entering a new bull phase, driven by structural reforms and a potential shift of global capital toward emerging markets as AI‑related hype eases. - **Raamdeo Agrawal**, Chairman of Motilal Oswal Financial Services, projects “bumper returns” by the next Diwali, citing attractive valuations, improving earnings, lower crude prices and renewed foreign investor interest. - **Atul Suri**, CEO of Marathon Trends PMS, cautions that the current rally may be the first stage of a longer bull run, requiring more stocks to make fresh highs. He forecasts the Nifty reaching **30,000** within the next 18 months. - **Samir Arora** of Helios Capital adopts a more guarded stance, saying additional catalysts—such as changes to capital‑gains tax and better currency‑adjusted returns—are needed for a sustained upward trend.

Outlook for Samvat 2083 The Diwali session marked the start of Samvat 2083, the Hindu calendar year. While the indices ended lower, the breadth of advancing stocks and the optimism expressed by several market veterans suggest that the momentum from the previous week could carry forward, provided fresh catalysts emerge.

--- *The views expressed by the quoted experts are their own and not endorsed by Moneycontrol.*

🏛️ Background & Context

Diwali Muhurat Trading, a special one‑hour session held on the eve of the Diwali festival, often sets the market’s opening sentiment for the year. Historically, a strong Muhurat performance has been linked to positive market trends in the months that follow. The current session follows one of the strongest weekly rallies in recent years, driven by foreign institutional buying and lower oil prices.

👁️ What To Watch Next

Investors should monitor: (1) upcoming macro‑economic data such as GDP growth and inflation; (2) any policy announcements on capital‑gains tax; (3) foreign institutional inflows; and (4) corporate earnings reports that could provide fresh catalysts for the Nifty to breach the 30,000 level.

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