FICCI Survey: Indian Manufacturing Sentiment Rebounds in Q2 FY27

⚡ Key Financial Takeaways

  • Nearly 95% of manufacturers reported higher or unchanged production levels in Q2 FY27, up from 77% in the previous quarter.
  • Average manufacturing capacity utilization increased to 75.5% from 72%, with glass manufacturers leading at 88%.
  • Hiring intentions rose to 43% for the next three months, driven by strong demand in automobiles, glass, and machine tools.
  • 83% of manufacturers reported an increase in production costs as a share of sales, attributed to raw material prices and rupee depreciation.
  • The average interest rate paid by manufacturers rose to 9.1%, though 90% reported adequate access to bank funding.

💡 Why It Matters

The data indicates a tangible recovery in the Indian manufacturing sector, moving from a cautious stance to one of active expansion. The rise in capacity utilization and hiring plans suggests that domestic demand is firming up. However, the simultaneous rise in input costs and interest rates highlights the margin pressure manufacturers face, which could limit the sustainability of this growth if global trade conditions worsen.

Manufacturing Sentiment Rebounds

Indian manufacturers have shown a marked improvement in confidence regarding production and demand for the July-September quarter (Q2 FY27). According to the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) latest quarterly survey, nearly 95 percent of respondents reported higher or unchanged production levels. This is a significant jump from the 77 percent recorded in the previous April-June quarter.

The recovery in sentiment appears to be driven by stable domestic fundamentals, which have helped offset the impact of the prevailing geopolitical situation. Order books have also strengthened, with around 90 percent of respondents reporting higher or unchanged orders in Q2 FY27, compared to 77 percent in the prior quarter.

Capacity Utilization Rises Across Sectors

The improvement in activity is reflected in higher utilization of existing production capacity. The average manufacturing capacity utilization rose to approximately 75.5 percent in Q2, up from 72 percent in the previous survey period.

Sector-wise performance varied, with glass manufacturers reporting the highest average capacity utilization at 88 percent. This was followed by miscellaneous manufacturing at 81 percent and metals and metal products at 78 percent. Capital goods recorded a utilization rate of 76 percent, while textiles stood at 75 percent. The automobile and auto components sector reported a utilization rate of 73 percent.

Employment and Investment Outlook

While the investment outlook remained relatively steady, employment plans have become more positive. Around 43 percent of respondents indicated plans to hire additional workers over the next three months, an increase from 35 percent in the previous quarter. The strongest hiring intentions were observed in the automobile, glass, and machine tool sectors.

However, manufacturers cited several constraints to expanding capacity, including geopolitical uncertainty, tariffs, trade restrictions, demand uncertainty, skill shortages, raw material availability, logistics costs, and regulatory challenges.

Cost Pressures and Export Trends

Despite the recovery in volume, cost pressures have intensified. Nearly 83 percent of manufacturers reported an increase in production costs as a share of sales, up from 79 percent in Q1. The primary drivers for this increase were higher raw material and energy costs, rupee depreciation, and rising logistics and utility expenses.

Export sentiment also strengthened, with around 80 percent of respondents reporting exports to be higher or unchanged compared to the same period last year. FICCI attributed part of this improvement to export-diversification efforts by both the government and industry.

Financially, manufacturers reported paying an average interest rate of 9.1 percent, up from 8.9 percent in the previous quarter. Nevertheless, 90 percent of respondents stated that adequate bank funding was available for both working capital and long-term requirements.

Among major sectors, automobiles and auto components had the strongest growth outlook, with FICCI categorizing expected growth as "strong," implying a range of 10-20 percent.

🏛️ Background & Context

The survey covers the second quarter of fiscal year 2026-27 (July-September 2026). The previous quarter referenced is April-June 2026. The improvement in sentiment is noted against a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions, which have been cited as ongoing risks.

👁️ What To Watch Next

Readers should monitor whether the hiring plans translate into actual employment growth in the coming months. Additionally, the impact of rising raw material costs and rupee depreciation on final product prices and profit margins will be critical. The performance of the automobile and glass sectors, which showed the strongest signals, will be key indicators of the broader manufacturing recovery.