ICICI Securities maintains BUY on Astral, raises target price to INR 1,831

Key Financial Takeaways

  • ICICI Securities has raised Astral's sum-of-the-parts (SoTP) target price to INR 1,831 (from INR 1,783), maintaining a BUY rating.
  • Astral is on track to achieve double-digit volume growth in FY27, supported by healthy pipe demand in Q2FY27.
  • The company expects to meet its Operating Profit Margin (OPM) guidance of 16–18% for FY27, aided by higher PVC prices.
  • Astral’s CPVC resin plant is on track for commercial production in Q4FY27, which is expected to boost volumes and margins from FY28.
  • The India adhesive business is on track to deliver 15–20% revenue growth in FY27 despite raw material volatility.

💡 Why It Matters

Astral is a key player in the Indian building materials sector. The confirmation of double-digit volume growth and stable margins (16-18% OPM) suggests robust underlying demand in the housing and infrastructure sectors. The upcoming commissioning of the CPVC resin plant is particularly significant as it indicates a shift towards greater vertical integration, which could insulate the company from raw material price fluctuations and enhance its competitive moat in FY28 and beyond.

Analyst Reaffirms Bullish Stance on Astral

ICICI Securities has issued a research report reaffirming its BUY recommendation on Astral Ltd, while revising its sum-of-the-parts (SoTP) target price upwards to INR 1,831. This represents an increase from the previous target of INR 1,783, with the new target rolled over to September 2027 estimates.

The brokerage’s conviction remains unchanged following a recent meeting with Astral’s management, where key operational and financial insights were shared regarding the company’s trajectory for the current fiscal year.

Pipe Segment Shows Resilience and Margin Support

A significant portion of the positive outlook is driven by the company’s core pipe business. According to the report, pipe demand in the first quarter of FY27 (Q2FY27-TD) has been healthy. Astral is currently on track to achieve its guidance of double-digit volume growth for the full fiscal year 2027.

Furthermore, the company is benefiting from margin tailwinds in the pipe segment. ICICI Securities notes that higher PVC prices are contributing to improved margins. Management has expressed confidence in achieving its Operating Profit Margin (OPM) guidance of 16–18% for FY27.

Strategic Expansion in CPVC Resin

A key future catalyst highlighted in the report is the progress of Astral’s CPVC resin plant. The facility is on track to begin commercial production in Q4FY27. Once operational, this plant is expected to augment production volumes and improve the margin outlook for the pipe segment starting from FY28. This vertical integration move is seen as a strategic step to secure supply and enhance profitability in the long term.

Adhesive Business Maintains Growth Trajectory

Beyond pipes, Astral’s adhesive business in India continues to show strong traction. Despite high volatility in raw material costs, the segment is on track to meet its FY27 revenue growth guidance of 15–20%. This indicates that the company is effectively managing cost pressures while sustaining demand in this line of business.

Investment Outlook

ICICI Securities maintains its BUY rating based on these operational updates and financial projections. The raised target price reflects the brokerage’s confidence in Astral’s ability to deliver on its volume and margin targets, supported by upcoming capacity additions in the CPVC segment.

🏛️ Background & Context

Astral Ltd is a leading manufacturer of plastic pipes and adhesives in India. The company operates in two main segments: pipes (PVC, CPVC, etc.) and adhesives. The current fiscal year is FY27 (April 2026 - March 2027). The 'SoTP' (Sum-of-the-Parts) valuation method is used by analysts to value conglomerates or companies with distinct business segments by valuing each segment separately and summing the values.

👁️ What To Watch Next

Investors should monitor the actual commissioning of the CPVC resin plant in Q4FY27 to ensure it meets the timeline for commercial production. Additionally, tracking the realization of the 16-18% OPM target in subsequent quarterly results will be crucial to validate the margin tailwinds cited by the brokerage. The performance of the adhesive segment in the face of continued raw material volatility will also be a key indicator of the company's pricing power.

Source Attribution:
  • Moneycontrol