Tier‑2 Indian cities outpace metros in residential price growth, report shows

Key Financial Takeaways

  • Residential prices in 11 Tier‑2 markets grew 63 % between 2021 and 2026, versus 42 % in India’s top eight cities.
  • The 2016‑2026 CAGR for these Tier‑2 markets was 8 %, double the 4 % seen in metros.
  • Average price ranges: Rs 4,500‑6,500 per sq ft in Nagpur and Visakhapatnam; Rs 11,500‑13,500 per sq ft in Goa.
  • Warehousing leasing in Tier‑2 cities reached 11.2 msf in 2025, with six cities contributing 5.3 msf.
  • Retail organised shopping‑centre stock in Tier‑2 cities accounted for 60 % of the 36 msf available in 24 Tier‑2 markets.

💡 Why It Matters

The data signals a structural shift in India’s property market, with smaller cities gaining traction as affordable alternatives to expensive metros. Faster price growth in Tier‑2 markets indicates rising demand driven by infrastructure and retail expansion, offering new opportunities for developers and homebuyers while highlighting the importance of job creation for sustained growth.

Rapid price gains in emerging Tier‑2 markets

A joint study by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and Knight Frank India, released on 18 September, shows that residential property in 11 Tier‑2 cities has outpaced growth in the country’s biggest metros. Prices in these markets rose 63 % from 2021 to 2026, compared with 42 % in the top eight cities.

The report lists Bhopal, Bhubaneswar, Chandigarh Tricity, Goa, Indore, Jaipur, Kochi, Lucknow, Nagpur, Visakhapatnam and Coimbatore as the fastest‑growing markets. Over the decade 2016‑2026, their compound annual growth rate (CAGR) averaged 8 %, twice the 4 % CAGR recorded across the metros.

Prices still below metro levels

Despite the faster growth, most of these markets offer a lower entry point. Average residential prices range from Rs 4,500‑6,500 per square foot in Nagpur and Visakhapatnam to Rs 11,500‑13,500 per square foot in Goa. Bhopal sits at Rs 5,000‑7,000, Indore at Rs 5,500‑7,500, and Jaipur and Kochi at Rs 7,000‑9,000.

Beyond residential – warehousing and retail

The shift is evident in other property segments. In 2025, Tier‑2 cities leased 11.2 million square feet (msf) of warehousing space, almost unchanged from 11.4 msf in 2024. Six of the 11 cities—Lucknow, Jaipur, Nagpur, Indore, Coimbatore and Bhubaneswar—accounted for 5.3 msf, nearly half of all Tier‑2 warehousing transactions.

Retail is also expanding. India’s organised shopping‑centre stock reached 134 msf in 2025 across 32 cities, with 36 msf spread over 24 Tier‑2 markets. Ten of the 11 identified cities contributed about 60 % of that Tier‑2 retail space.

What drives the momentum?

Shishir Baijal, International Partner, Chairman & Managing Director of Knight Frank India, said the next wave of growth will hinge on how well these cities convert improved connectivity into jobs, enterprise, population growth and consumption. "Cities that bring together employment, enterprise, population growth, consumption and urban capacity will be better placed to build deeper and more diversified real‑estate markets," he noted.

Implications for investors and developers

The faster price growth and lower entry points make Tier‑2 markets attractive for both homebuyers and developers. However, Baijal cautioned that success will require a sharper understanding of each city’s economic drivers and a selective approach to investment.

Where to look next

The report suggests that future growth will depend on sustained economic activity in these cities. Investors should monitor how connectivity projects translate into job creation and whether infrastructure investments continue to support residential, warehousing and retail demand.

Sources

- Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and Knight Frank India, "CII‑Knight Frank India report on Tier‑2 real‑estate growth," 18 September (no URL provided). - Moneycontrol, article summarising the CII‑Knight Frank findings (no URL provided).

🏛️ Background & Context

India’s real‑estate sector has traditionally been dominated by metros such as Mumbai, Delhi and Bengaluru. Recent infrastructure projects and urbanisation trends have begun to spread economic activity to Tier‑2 cities, creating a more balanced national housing market.

👁️ What To Watch Next

Future reports will likely examine whether connectivity improvements in Tier‑2 cities translate into measurable job creation and population growth. Investors should watch for new infrastructure announcements, housing policy changes and shifts in retail and warehousing demand that could influence price trajectories.

Source Attribution:
  • Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) and Knight Frank India
  • Moneycontrol