Nifty 50 Extends Downtrend for Third Session; Experts See Further Weakness

Key Financial Takeaways

  • Nifty 50 fell 0.86% on September 9, extending its downtrend for the third straight session.
  • Technical indicators signal further weakness, with potential support levels at 23,300 and 23,070.
  • The Nifty 50 formed a red candle with an upper shadow, indicating selling pressure at higher levels.
  • The RSI dropped to 26.44, entering oversold territory.

💡 Why It Matters

The current downtrend in the Nifty 50 and the bearish technical indicators suggest that investors should exercise caution. The potential support levels at 23,300 and 23,070 are crucial for the market's short‑term direction. Rising oil prices and US Treasury yields are significant external factors influencing market sentiment.

Market Update The Nifty 50 remained under pressure, falling 0.86% on September 9 and extending its downtrend for the third consecutive session. This decline was influenced by rising oil prices, which crossed the $100‑a‑barrel mark due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, and a spike in US 10‑year Treasury yields to multi‑year highs.

Technical Indicators Technical and momentum indicators suggest further weakness in the near term. The Nifty 50 formed a red candle with an upper shadow, indicating selling pressure at higher levels. All key moving averages are sloping downward, while the RSI dropped to 26.44, entering oversold territory. The MACD line extended its decline, with the red histogram bar expanding for the third consecutive session.

Support and Resistance Levels Experts see the possibility of the Nifty 50 falling towards 23,300, followed by 23,070, which is likely to act as a crucial support level. However, in case of a bounce‑back, the 23,500–23,600 zone could act as an immediate hurdle in the short term. Experts advise following a sell‑on‑rise strategy.

Options Data Analysis According to the weekly options data, the 24,000 strike holds the maximum Call open interest (with 1.17 crore contracts), which can act as a key resistance level for the Nifty in the short term. On the Put side, the maximum Put open interest was seen at the 23,500 strike (with 80.46 lakh contracts), which can act as a key level for the Nifty in the short term.

Market Sentiment The Nifty Put‑Call ratio (PCR) slipped to 0.75 on September 9, compared to 0.83 in the previous session. The India VIX, the volatility index, surged 6.81% to 11.92, moving above its short‑term moving averages and inching closer to its medium‑term moving average.

🏛️ Background & Context

The global market sentiment has been impacted by rising oil prices and increasing US Treasury yields. Domestically, the market is influenced by technical indicators and options data.

👁️ What To Watch Next

Investors should watch for the Nifty 50's performance around the 23,300 and 23,070 support levels. Additionally, the 23,500–23,600 zone could act as an immediate hurdle in the short term. The weekly options data and technical indicators will be crucial in determining the market's direction.

Source Attribution:
  • Original Source