V2 Retail Eyes 40% CAGR as Motilal Oswal Issues BUY Rating

Key Financial Takeaways

  • V2 Retail plans to add 450 stores, targeting 400+ outlets across 300+ cities.
  • Projected revenue, pre‑Ind AS EBITDA and PAT CAGR of 40%, 38% and 35% for FY26‑29E.
  • Private‑label mix stands at ~90%, with in‑house design contributing 35‑40%.
  • Motilal Oswal’s DCF values the company at ~15× Sep’28E pre‑Ind AS EBITDA, implying a ₹275 target.
  • The firm is rated BUY with a 27% upside potential.

V2 Retail’s Expansion Blueprint V2 Retail, a niche player in India’s tier‑2 and tier‑3 cities, is building a network of 400 stores in more than 300 cities. The chain’s growth plan includes an addition of roughly 450 outlets over the next few years, a move that will broaden its reach in markets that remain under‑penetrated by larger fashion retailers.

Financial Outlook and Valuation Motilal Oswal projects a 40% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in revenue, 38% in pre‑Ind AS EBITDA and 35% in profit after tax (PAT) for the period FY26‑29E. The growth is expected to be driven by a mid‑single‑digit same‑store sales growth (SSSG) and a dilution of fixed costs as the store network scales.

The research firm’s discounted cash‑flow model values V2 Retail at roughly 15‑times the pre‑Ind AS EBITDA forecast for September 2028, translating into a target price of ₹275 per share. This valuation implies a 25‑times multiple on pre‑Ind AS earnings and a 27% upside from current market levels.

What Sets V2 Apart The retailer’s competitive edge lies in four pillars:

1. **Focused Value‑Fashion Offering** – V2 targets aspirational households that are price‑sensitive, offering a full‑family range of apparel. 2. **Private‑Label Dominance** – About 90% of the product mix is private label, with 35‑40% designed in‑house, allowing tighter control over cost and margins. 3. **High Store Productivity** – As of FY26, the chain reports a store‑productivity figure of approximately ₹923 per square foot. 4. **Through‑put‑Led Cost Structure** – Even with lower gross margins than peers, V2’s cost discipline supports superior profitability.

Investment Thesis Motilal Oswal’s BUY recommendation is anchored on the belief that V2’s disciplined merchandise strategy, strong store economics and deep penetration in under‑served markets will sustain its growth trajectory. The firm expects the retailer’s scale to bring down fixed‑cost exposure and to improve operating leverage.

Why It Matters India’s fashion retail sector is increasingly competitive, with many players focusing on urban metros. V2’s offline‑first, value‑centric model taps a large, growing consumer base in smaller cities, positioning it well for continued expansion. Investors looking for exposure to the retail upside in tier‑2/3 markets may find the 27% upside attractive.

What to Watch - **Store‑opening pace** – The company’s ability to roll out 450 new outlets will be a key performance indicator. - **Revenue and EBITDA growth** – Tracking the projected 40% revenue CAGR and 38% EBITDA CAGR will confirm the growth narrative. - **Market reaction to the rating** – Share price movements following the BUY call and target price announcement will indicate investor sentiment. - **Cost‑control metrics** – Monitoring store‑productivity and fixed‑cost dilution will help gauge operational efficiency.

Sources - Publisher: Motilal Oswal Title: Motilal Oswal's research report on V2 Retail URL:

Tags - V2 Retail - Motilal Oswal - Indian Retail - Fashion Retail - Stock Market