Crompton Greaves Eyes Double Revenue by FY31 – ICICI Securities Buy Rating

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Key Financial Takeaways

  • Crompton aims to double revenue by FY31, implying a 15% CAGR and 12%+ EBITDA margin.
  • The addressable market is projected to grow from ₹800 bn to over ₹1.6 trn through premiumisation and new product adjacencies.
  • Growth investments are internally funded with strong cash generation and a net‑cash balance sheet.

FY31 Revenue & EBITDA Outlook ICICI Securities’ latest research on Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals highlights a bold growth target: double revenue by FY31, translating to a 15% compound annual growth rate. The company also projects an exit EBITDA margin exceeding 12%, driven by higher contribution from new products and premiumisation across its core businesses.

The analysts model revenue and PAT growth at 11.6% and 19.9% respectively for FY26–28E, supporting a target price of ₹315. At this valuation, the implied P/E for FY28E EPS stands at 27x, consistent with the buy recommendation.

Growth Drivers & Market Expansion Crompton has strengthened its organisational and innovation engine over FY23–26, expanding its addressable market from roughly ₹800 bn to more than ₹1.6 trn. This expansion is anchored on premium products, new product introductions, and strategic adjacencies in solar, wires, and other emerging segments.

Internal funding remains a cornerstone of the growth plan. The company’s robust cash generation and a net‑cash balance sheet enable it to finance new investments without external debt, ensuring sustainable expansion.

Investment Thesis & Rating ICICI Securities maintains a BUY rating with an unchanged target price of ₹315. The firm believes the next phase will be powered by core market share gains, rising new‑product contribution, and scaling of high‑margin verticals. With a DCF‑based valuation that aligns with current earnings expectations, the buy recommendation reflects confidence in Crompton’s ability to deliver the projected revenue and margin targets while preserving financial discipline.